3-19-18 – Significant Severe Weather Is Expected On Monday Afternoon & Monday Night Across Middle Tennessee, Northern Alabama & Northwest Georgia; Significant Severe Weather Is Then Expected Across Northern & Central Florida On Tuesday Afternoon
Significant Severe Weather Is Expected Across Middle Tennessee, Northern Alabama & Northwestern Georgia On Monday Afternoon & Monday Night: The most active day for severe weather so far this year is expected on Monday across Tennessee, Alabama and Georgia with tornadoes, damaging wind gusts and hail anticipated. In fact, strong tornadoes are possible late Monday afternoon and Monday evening across middle Tennessee, northern Alabama and northwestern Georgia.
An area of low pressure is expected to push across the Tennessee Valley during Monday and Monday night dragging a cold front through Mississippi, Tennessee and Alabama during Monday afternoon and into Georgia and the Florida Panhandle on Monday night. Ahead of this cold front, 60-plus degree dew point temperatures will push as far north as Tennessee with 65 Degree dew point temperatures expected across Alabama and Georgia.
Timing: Strong to severe thunderstorms are forecast to develop across middle Tennesse, northwestern Alabama and northeastern Mississippi during the mid-afternoon hours of Monday. These storms, some of which will be supercells, will push across the rest of middle Tennessee, northern and central Alabama during late Monday afternoon and Monday evening. These storms will push into northern Georgia towards and after midnight on Monday night.
Threats: The severe storms that form on Monday afternoon and Monday night will be capable of producing damaging wind gusts, hail and tornadoes. The highest tornado threat will be across middle Tennessee, northern Alabama and northwestern Georgia, including Nashville, Tennessee, Huntsville and Birmingham, Alabama, where the shear profiles will be most favorable.
Significant Severe Weather Is Expected Across Northern & Central Florida On Tuesday Afternoon: A squall line capable of producing widespread damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado or two is expected on Tuesday afternoon across northern and central Florida. This significant severe weather risk includes Jacksonville, Gainesville, Tampa and Orlando.
A cold front will push across northern Florida during Tuesday afternoon with a squall line move from northwest to southeast across northern and then central Florida beginning around midday Tuesday from Jacksonville to Gainesville reaching Daytona Beach and Palm Coast by mid to late afternoon Tuesday. This squall line is forecast to reach the Tampa to Orlando corridor on Tuesday evening.